Andrew Ramsey has a crack at picking the Aussie touring party for the highly-anticipated series against the Proteas.
The fact that Australia used the same 12 names on their team sheet for all five Ashes Tests this summer means the national selection panel could narrow their focus when picking the touring party for next month’s series against South Africa.
Although Australia has taken a 16-man squad on its past couple of Test trips across the Indian Ocean, there is likely to be just 15 names in the squad to be announced next week which means only three berths would have been under discussion.
Assuming the Test 12 – including last night’s Carlton Mid ODI Series hero James Faulkner – are fully fit then they’ll be inked in, even though George Bailey’s tenure in the number six batting berth remains under close scrutiny.
The fact that South Africa’s strength is also its fast bowling complement of Dale Steyn, Morne Morkel and Vernon Philander means they’re unlikely to prepare the sort of dry, spin-friendly pitches that England rolled out in last year’s Ashes series in the UK.
So the need for a second spinner in Australia’s touring party is negated.
And if conditions or fitness concerns dictate a sudden change to personnel, a replacement player can be put on a plane and land in South Africa within a day.
Glenn Maxwell would likely come into consideration should a raging turner suddenly appear at one of the Test venues – Centurion, Cape Town and Port Elizabeth.
Which means that, in addition to the Ashes 12, the selectors only have to settle on an auxiliary batsman and a couple of extra quicks lest one or two of the incumbents should be hobbled on match morning.
Former Australian batsman Mike Hussey believes that Tasmania’s Alex Doolan maintains front running for the extra batting spot as shown by his inclusion in the squad for the Sydney Test when doubts arose over the fitness of regular number three Shane Watson.
“I haven’t seen a lot of Doolan to make a definitive judgement, but he seems like he’s been identified as the next one they want to put in,†Hussey said.
“He’s been around the Test team so I’d be surprised if they didn’t pick him.
“But the problem is there’s no first-class cricket being played leading into this South Africa series.
“So if it wasn’t him then you would probably have to look towards guys who are currently playing in the one-day arena, and if one of the batsmen in the one-day team such as Shaun Marsh scores a couple of hundreds then he’s got to put his case forward.â€
Ex-captain and former national selector Allan Border strongly believes that South Australian opener Phil Hughes, who made such a memorable entrance to Test cricket in South Africa five years ago and was in sparkling form in early season Bupa Sheffield Shield games, should go ahead of Doolan.
“There’s no-one really knocking the door down with hundred after hundred after hundred - I mean Doolan is averaging in the 30s,†Border told radio 2SM yesterday.
“I have a very soft spot for young (Phil) Hughes and I think he’s been badly treated in the past.
“Maybe they’re just making him really earn his stripes again this time.
“He’s just so far in front of any other contender it’s not funny so I’m hoping they’ll take Hughes on the plane (to South Africa).
“It looks like Doolan’s jumped in front of him and I’m not 100 per cent sure why, I think Hughes is definitely in the frame.â€
Hughes offers the additional reassurance of being able to take the wicketkeeping gloves should Brad Haddin fracture a finger or suffer some other sort of misadventure immediately before a Test.
But the era of taking a specialist back-up ‘keeper on tours has gone the way of rest days and silence during breaks in play.
As for the extra bowlers, Hussey believes James Pattinson must be squarely in the frame even though he hasn’t played first-class cricket since breaking down during the second Test of last year’s Ashes series in England.
Nathan Coulter-Nile, who with Doug Bollinger was added to an extended Test squad during the home Ashes campaign, is another whose name will have been raised in the selectors’ deliberations.
And Hussey has nominated Jackson Bird, another whose return from injury has seen him bowl limited spells in the KFC Big Bash League over recent weeks, as a bowler whose seam movement and swing would be ideally suited to the conditions that are expected to await in South Africa.
“I think Jackson Bird is someone who has been bowling well throughout the Big Bash, and the only thing against him is that he hasn’t been playing a lot of four-day cricket,†Hussey said.
“I’ve faced him and watching him in the Big Bash he’s certainly been bowling very well, and he would be very good in those conditions.â€
Former Australian seam bowler Damien Fleming also nominates Bird to be marginally ahead of Pattinson should the selectors decide the 15th spot be awarded to a fifth quick (supplemented by all-rounders Watson and Faulkner).
However, Fleming points out that decision is based solely on the fact that Bird’s rehabilitation from injury is a few weeks more advanced and that he’s had a chance to get more bowling under his belt earlier in the summer than Pattinson was able to.
It was one of the reasons that Bird was being mentioned as a possible standby option for the Melbourne and Sydney Tests had one or two of the incumbent quicks been unable to make it through the entire series.
“After some thought, I would probably go for Bird just ahead of Pattinson simply because he’s a couple of weeks ahead in his recovery program,†Fleming said.
“Even though he’s only bowled those four-over spells in the Big Bash he’s been getting through some overs elsewhere and his game should be pretty well suited to South African conditions.
“That means Patto can stay in Australia and play some second XI matches or whatever before the Sheffield Shield competition resumes, and be ready to fly over there should they need him.â€
So in the absence of any leaked dossier slipped under a hotel room door or secret briefings ahead of the official announcement, here’s our stab at the touring party and the rationale behind the choices: